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Market Analysis

US Dollar Gains on Trade Optimism, But CPI Surprise Raises Rate Cut Bets
  • May 13, 2025

US Dollar Gains on Trade Optimism, But CPI Surprise Raises Rate Cut Bets

We had a volatile start of a new trading week. The US dollar moved higher across the board as the US and China appear to be moving toward lowering tariffs, suggesting progress toward a potential...

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US-China Trade Deal Lifts Markets, but Stocks Still Trail
  • May 13, 2025

US-China Trade Deal Lifts Markets, but Stocks Still Trail

Sunday’s announcement that the US and China will sharply reduce tariffs and continue to negotiate sparked a monster rally in equities around the world. The assumption is that progress on trade talks...

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GBP/USD Drifts Lower as UK Labor Market Cools and US CPI Looms
  • May 13, 2025

GBP/USD Drifts Lower as UK Labor Market Cools and US CPI Looms

UK unemployment rose to 4.5% & wage growth eased US CPI is expected to hold at 2.4% GBP/USD has fallen away from its 2025 high GBP/USD hovers around a monthly low as investors weigh up U.S....

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European Stocks Hold Steady as Corporate Earnings Support Market Gains
  • May 13, 2025

European Stocks Hold Steady as Corporate Earnings Support Market Gains

Asian stock markets mostly went up after US stocks rallied, as hopes grew that the US-China trade truce might end the tariff war. Japanese stocks led the way, with the Topix rising for the 13th...

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Dollar’s Resilience Could Be Tested After Monday’s Surge
  • May 13, 2025

Dollar’s Resilience Could Be Tested After Monday’s Surge

Risk appetite is slightly receding today after Monday’s boost US stocks and the dollar experienced considerable moves on Monday US CPI in focus today, but investors are craving Fed commentary Gold...

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  • May 13, 2025

Gold Prices Drop as Geopolitical Tensions Ease Amid US-China Trade Deal

Gold Collapses Amid Trade Tariff Easing Gold (XAU/USD) declined by over 2.69% on Monday. "Gold, conversely, faced significant headwinds, retreating from earlier highs above $3,400 down to nearly...

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Futures lower, CPI ahead, U.S. to cut "de minimis" levies - what's...
  • May 12, 2025

Futures lower, CPI ahead, U.S. to cut "de minimis" levies - what's...

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S&P 500: Bulls Holding Out for the Next Catalyst to Push Higher
  • May 12, 2025

S&P 500: Bulls Holding Out for the Next Catalyst to Push Higher

Stocks, rates, and the US Dollar all increased yesterday. As I noted over the week, short-dated implied volatility was very high heading into the China meeting. Basically, it was a scenario where...

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Upgrade to Premium: How Corporate Profits Are Built on Everyday Immiseration
  • May 12, 2025

Upgrade to Premium: How Corporate Profits Are Built on Everyday Immiseration

If you want to escape immiseration, that option is available--upgrade to Premium. I propose we set aside the conventional economic measures (GDP, unemployment, corporate profits, etc.) in favor of a...

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  • May 12, 2025

Inflation in Focus: Will April’s CPI Data Reflect Tariff Pressure on Prices?

Investors will be tuned in for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report to be released on Tuesday morning before the market opens. Inflation has been moving steadily lower in recent months,...

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Recent Posts

  • S&P 500 Hovers Near Resistance With PPI Set to Test Market Direction
    June 11, 2025
  • Gold’s Corrective Phase Could Be Over as Uptrend Resumes
    June 11, 2025
  • CPI Miss Sends US Dollar Lower as Stocks Lose Momentum Ahead of PPI
    June 11, 2025
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