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Market Analysis

NZD/USD Range-Bound After RBNZ Rate Cut and Dovish Commentary
  • May 29, 2025

NZD/USD Range-Bound After RBNZ Rate Cut and Dovish Commentary

The New Zealand dollar declined as much as 0.67% earlier but has recovered. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5969, up 0.04% on the day. RBNZ's Hawkesby Sees Weaker Growth, Lower...

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  • May 29, 2025

Gold Dips as Fed Minutes Signal Inflation Worries and Economic Caution

Gold Slips After FOMC Meeting Minutes The gold (XAU/USD) price fell by 0.4% on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve's (Fed) May Meeting Minutes release. The report highlighted policymakers’ growing...

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Consumers Are Not as Gloomy as Recession Calls Imply
  • May 29, 2025

Consumers Are Not as Gloomy as Recession Calls Imply

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index surged from 85.7 to 98.0. Such was the largest one-month increase since 2009! Clearly, progress on trade deals and the delay in implementing tariffs...

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US Dollar Benefits From Court’s Tariff Decision, but Outlook Remains Clouded
  • May 29, 2025

US Dollar Benefits From Court’s Tariff Decision, but Outlook Remains Clouded

A US federal court blocks Trump’s tariff decisions Dollar and US stocks jump on court decision, but rally already fading Risk of Trump dropping his recent congenial stance Gold attempts to climb...

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From Trump's Tariff-Postpone-Repeat to Court's Cease-and-Desist
  • May 28, 2025

From Trump's Tariff-Postpone-Repeat to Court's Cease-and-Desist

In imposing his tariffs in early April, President Donald Trump called the trade deficit a national emergency that justified his doing so. Last evening, the Manhattan-based Court of International...

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  • May 28, 2025

The Real Impact of Fannie and Freddie’s Government Share Sell-Off

Yesterday, FHFA director Bill Pulte gave an interview on CNBC that either clarified or confused things more on Fannie and Freddie. He made a point to say that they aren’t privatizing them. They are...

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A Nominal Rate of 4.5% Isn’t a Crisis — It’s Roughly Equilibrium
  • May 28, 2025

A Nominal Rate of 4.5% Isn’t a Crisis — It’s Roughly Equilibrium

I was planning to write today about why a 4.5%-5.0% nominal Treasury rate is not only not the end of the world, but actually sort of normal. Naturally, the reason I am even thinking about the topic...

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S&P 500 Technicals Suggest Bullish Continuation—If Nvidia and the Fed Don’t Disapp
  • May 28, 2025

S&P 500 Technicals Suggest Bullish Continuation—If Nvidia and the Fed Don’t Disapp

Stocks Edge Higher After Strong Gains Yesterday U.S. stocks are heading for a modestly higher open as investors await the latest results from AI bellwether NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA)and the...

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Fed Minutes Awaited as Risk Rally Eases, Dollar Extends Recovery
  • May 28, 2025

Fed Minutes Awaited as Risk Rally Eases, Dollar Extends Recovery

US dollar extends rebound, yen edges up too as bond yields creep up again But stocks mixed amid persisting worries about US economy and debt Kiwi up after RBNZ signals end of rate cuts, oil eyes...

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Tight Credit Spreads Signal Calm Despite Moody’s Downgrade
  • May 28, 2025

Tight Credit Spreads Signal Calm Despite Moody’s Downgrade

A reader of our Daily Commentary asked how we measure corporate credit spreads in light of the Moody’s downgrade of the USA credit rating. Specifically, “Without having an AAA benchmark to calculate...

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Recent Posts

  • S&P 500 Hovers Near Resistance With PPI Set to Test Market Direction
    June 11, 2025
  • Gold’s Corrective Phase Could Be Over as Uptrend Resumes
    June 11, 2025
  • CPI Miss Sends US Dollar Lower as Stocks Lose Momentum Ahead of PPI
    June 11, 2025
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