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Market Analysis

  • April 16, 2025

Is the Weakening US Dollar Good for American Stocks?

The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the dollar against a weighted basket of six foreign currencies, including the EUR/USD and the USD/JPY, recently fell to its lowest level since April 2022. This may...

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Retail Sales Beat Expectations, but How Much Is Related to Tariffs?
  • April 16, 2025

Retail Sales Beat Expectations, but How Much Is Related to Tariffs?

Total retail sales came in at $734.9 billion in March, a gain of +1.4% (vs +1.3% expected). January and February were revised higher by a combined $3.4 billion. At +1.4%, its the biggest monthly gain...

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Tech Stocks Falter but Dow Jones Turns Green, BoC Meeting Ahead
  • April 16, 2025

Tech Stocks Falter but Dow Jones Turns Green, BoC Meeting Ahead

Tech stocks fell globally after the Trump administration imposed new restrictions on Nvidia’s chip exports to China, worsening trade tensions. Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 1.5%, and Nvidia...

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Rare Earth Metals: Does China Have the Trump Card?
  • April 16, 2025

Rare Earth Metals: Does China Have the Trump Card?

The chart below, courtesy of JP Morgan Asset Management, highlights how much the US relies on certain rare earth metal imports from China and other nations. It also lists some of the products the...

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BoE Prepares for Rate Cut Amidst Falling UK Inflation and Energy Cost Concerns
  • April 16, 2025

BoE Prepares for Rate Cut Amidst Falling UK Inflation and Energy Cost Concerns

UK annual inflation dropped to 2.6% in March 2025, lower than expected, with notable decreases in recreation, culture, and transport prices. Markets are pricing in an 85% probability of a Bank of...

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Risk Sentiment Retreats as Trump Prepares for Fresh Tariff Decisions
  • April 16, 2025

Risk Sentiment Retreats as Trump Prepares for Fresh Tariff Decisions

All eyes on Fed Chair Powell today about rate cut hints UK CPI keeps the door open to May BoE rate cut Strong possibility of a BoC rate cut today Dollar’s suffering lingers, gold hits a new all-time...

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Global Stocks Struggle on Nvidia Curbs, Escalation of US-China Trade Tensions
  • April 16, 2025

Global Stocks Struggle on Nvidia Curbs, Escalation of US-China Trade Tensions

The two-day global stock surge in Europe came to a halt this morning following further escalations in the US-China trade war. The Trump administration slapped fresh curbs on Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) chip...

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  • April 16, 2025

Gold Prices Rise Amid Trade War Tensions and US Dollar Weakness

Analysts Expect 2025 to Be Bullish for Gold The gold (XAU/USD) price rose by 0.57% on Tuesday and continued to rally strongly during the Asian and early European trading sessions earlier today. A...

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EUR/USD: ECB Rate Decision Could Trigger 'Buy The Dip' Opportunity
  • April 15, 2025

EUR/USD: ECB Rate Decision Could Trigger 'Buy The Dip' Opportunity

Markets are still relatively slow ahead of the holidays, and there’s no real progression on stocks due to ongoing uncertainty around tariffs. It looks like the focus this week is shifting toward...

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What Changed in 2 Weeks? NABE Economists on the 'Liberation Day' Effect
  • April 15, 2025

What Changed in 2 Weeks? NABE Economists on the 'Liberation Day' Effect

From NABE two days ago, responses pre- and post-“Liberation Day”: From the NABE statement: The initial April 2025 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 41...

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