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Market Analysis

US Asset Valuations Hit 16-Year High—Is the Market Now Priced for Perfection?
  • April 17, 2025

US Asset Valuations Hit 16-Year High—Is the Market Now Priced for Perfection?

Late last year, US asset valuations reached a major milestone, 16 years in the making. After a golden decade for returns from the depths of 2009, the average valuation score for US stocks, corporate...

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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Recover as Trump Promises Trade Deal
  • April 17, 2025

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Recover as Trump Promises Trade Deal

Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose slightly on Thursday, the last trading day of the week, as attention shifted to U.S.-Japan tariff talks. Meanwhile, UnitedHealth (NYSE:UNH) shares dropped...

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Trade Talks Progress Calms Markets After Hawkish Powe
  • April 17, 2025

Trade Talks Progress Calms Markets After Hawkish Powe

Trump hails “big progress” in US-Japan trade talks US futures and dollar edge up, gold eases from record high Fed’s Powell maintains wait-and-see stance, ECB decision eyed next Chip stocks under...

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Eyes on Flash PMIs as Tariff Uncertainty Persists
  • April 17, 2025

Eyes on Flash PMIs as Tariff Uncertainty Persists

Tariff headlines remain at the top of investors’ agendas But flash S&P Global PMIs could attract special attention Auctions to reveal information about demand for Treasuries Tokyo CPI data and...

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Stock Indices Rise on Positive US-Japan Talks Ahead of ECB Meet
  • April 17, 2025

Stock Indices Rise on Positive US-Japan Talks Ahead of ECB Meet

Asian stocks rose slightly on Thursday, and the US Dollar gained a bit as traders evaluated trade talks between the U.S. and Japan, while concerns over tariffs introduced by President Donald Trump...

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  • April 16, 2025

Gold Hits Multi-Year Highs on Trade War Jitters and Dovish Fed Expectations

Safe-Haven Demand for Gold Remains Strong The gold (XAU/USD) price surged by 3.58% on Wednesday. Investors continued to buy safe-haven assets due to the intensifying trade conflict between the US and...

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4 Factors Behind the Surge in Homes and Land Prices
  • April 16, 2025

4 Factors Behind the Surge in Homes and Land Prices

I promise that I will end this series of posts with some actionable conclusions. I thought this would be a Point A to Point C series, but it’s turning into a Point A to Point E series. The final post...

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Tariff Fears Drive Retail Sales to Record High in March
  • April 16, 2025

Tariff Fears Drive Retail Sales to Record High in March

March retail sales came in above expectations and a record high. Autos were the strongest category, leading to believe the strength may be related to tariffs. But core sales (ex autos) also beat...

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Q1 Stall Speed? Tracking and Betting on GDP Growth, Retail Sales Composition
  • April 16, 2025

Q1 Stall Speed? Tracking and Betting on GDP Growth, Retail Sales Composition

GDPNow at essentially zero growth. Industrial production and retail sales (control) surprise downside. Figure 1: GDP (bold black), WSJ January survey mean (blue), WSJ April survey mean (tan), GDPNow...

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Global Stock Indices Rebound After Trump Touted Big Progress in US-Japan Talks
  • April 16, 2025

Global Stock Indices Rebound After Trump Touted Big Progress in US-Japan Talks

Global stock indices cratered yesterday, 16 April, led by technology and semiconductor stocks. Uncertainties over US tariffs and tic-for-tat trade retaliatory measures cast doubts on the technology...

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Recent Posts

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