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Market Analysis

Inflation Surprise? Core CPI Cools Again—But Not All Is as It Seems
  • May 13, 2025

Inflation Surprise? Core CPI Cools Again—But Not All Is as It Seems

Before the CPI analysis, I always try to give some context for where we are in the ‘story’ about the evolution of inflation right now. It’s really difficult to do that, though, because of all of the...

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QE Doesn’t Cause Inflation—Here’s What Really Does
  • May 13, 2025

QE Doesn’t Cause Inflation—Here’s What Really Does

Universities and mainstream economic courses teach us that governments need money to fund their spending, Central Banks have the authority to print money we use, and commercial banks lend and...

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  • May 13, 2025

Goldman Sachs Warns of 20% Market Sell-Off: Are They Right?

The S&P 500 index is now celebrating a recovery of 20% since the lows it had made during so-called “Liberation Day,” when President Trump rolled out the first round of trade tariffs with...

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US-China Trade Truce: What the 90-Day Tariff Pause Means for Markets
  • May 13, 2025

US-China Trade Truce: What the 90-Day Tariff Pause Means for Markets

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US Dollar Gains on Trade Optimism, But CPI Surprise Raises Rate Cut Bets
  • May 13, 2025

US Dollar Gains on Trade Optimism, But CPI Surprise Raises Rate Cut Bets

We had a volatile start of a new trading week. The US dollar moved higher across the board as the US and China appear to be moving toward lowering tariffs, suggesting progress toward a potential...

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US-China Trade Deal Lifts Markets, but Stocks Still Trail
  • May 13, 2025

US-China Trade Deal Lifts Markets, but Stocks Still Trail

Sunday’s announcement that the US and China will sharply reduce tariffs and continue to negotiate sparked a monster rally in equities around the world. The assumption is that progress on trade talks...

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GBP/USD Drifts Lower as UK Labor Market Cools and US CPI Looms
  • May 13, 2025

GBP/USD Drifts Lower as UK Labor Market Cools and US CPI Looms

UK unemployment rose to 4.5% & wage growth eased US CPI is expected to hold at 2.4% GBP/USD has fallen away from its 2025 high GBP/USD hovers around a monthly low as investors weigh up U.S....

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European Stocks Hold Steady as Corporate Earnings Support Market Gains
  • May 13, 2025

European Stocks Hold Steady as Corporate Earnings Support Market Gains

Asian stock markets mostly went up after US stocks rallied, as hopes grew that the US-China trade truce might end the tariff war. Japanese stocks led the way, with the Topix rising for the 13th...

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Dollar’s Resilience Could Be Tested After Monday’s Surge
  • May 13, 2025

Dollar’s Resilience Could Be Tested After Monday’s Surge

Risk appetite is slightly receding today after Monday’s boost US stocks and the dollar experienced considerable moves on Monday US CPI in focus today, but investors are craving Fed commentary Gold...

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  • May 13, 2025

Gold Prices Drop as Geopolitical Tensions Ease Amid US-China Trade Deal

Gold Collapses Amid Trade Tariff Easing Gold (XAU/USD) declined by over 2.69% on Monday. "Gold, conversely, faced significant headwinds, retreating from earlier highs above $3,400 down to nearly...

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