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Market Analysis

  • June 19, 2025

Why Traditional Investment Advice Fails High-Net-Worth Individuals

High-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) face financial challenges and opportunities that go far beyond the scope of traditional investment advice. While most investors may focus on growing their nest egg,...

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Will a US Strike on Iran Spark Stagflation and a Global Energy Shock?
  • June 19, 2025

Will a US Strike on Iran Spark Stagflation and a Global Energy Shock?

The question resonates after President Trump publicly mused about what could be the most momentous decision of his presidency. Bound up with that decision are high-stakes repercussions that could...

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US Dollar Strength and Oil Surge: A Fragile Mix for Global Equities
  • June 19, 2025

US Dollar Strength and Oil Surge: A Fragile Mix for Global Equities

Market sentiment remains fragile this morning as reports continue to arrive that the US is planning strikes on Iran. This would be a major escalation in the conflict and could draw other allies into...

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Fed Aftermath: Core Inflation Is Back to 2%—So Why the Hawkish Tone?
  • June 19, 2025

Fed Aftermath: Core Inflation Is Back to 2%—So Why the Hawkish Tone?

Let’s start this macro piece with a little game. Below you find two tables representing 3 consecutive prints of core CPI in the US including its subcomponents: core goods and core services (with a...

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Stocks Stall as Fed Signals End of 0% Era and Higher Long-Term Rates
  • June 19, 2025

Stocks Stall as Fed Signals End of 0% Era and Higher Long-Term Rates

Stocks finished Wednesday flat, surrendering earlier gains ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decision. A day earlier, I mentioned that an ideal scenario would have been a drop in...

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How Housing Bubble 2 Will Burst: The Investor Exodus Nobody’s Pricing In
  • June 19, 2025

How Housing Bubble 2 Will Burst: The Investor Exodus Nobody’s Pricing In

Corporate/private equity / STVR investors are all fair-weather owners of housing. Let's indulge in some basic logic: 1. All credit-asset bubbles burst. 2. U.S. housing is a credit-asset bubble. 3....

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GBP/USD, Crude Oil Forecast: Two Trades to Watch
  • June 19, 2025

GBP/USD, Crude Oil Forecast: Two Trades to Watch

GBP/USD rose after the BoE rate decision, Oil rises as Trump weighs up involvement in the Middle East The US dollar has been rising on safe-haven demand as President Trump continues to weigh up the...

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US Dollar Rises on Fed’s Hawkish Hold and Middle East Tensions
  • June 19, 2025

US Dollar Rises on Fed’s Hawkish Hold and Middle East Tensions

Fed holds rates steady, revises inflation projections up Dollar gains, also aided by escalating Isreal-Iran tensions Oil rebounds on increasing worries about supply disruption SNB cuts rates by...

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EUR/USD Corrective Pullback Deepens Post-Fed: Eyes on 1.1410 Support
  • June 19, 2025

EUR/USD Corrective Pullback Deepens Post-Fed: Eyes on 1.1410 Support

The US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark Fed funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting, as widely expected. During the press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned...

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  • June 19, 2025

Gold Under Pressure After Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged and Warns on Tariffs

Dovish Rhetoric Puts Downward Pressure on Gold Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell towards $3,370 on Wednesday after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell made dovish statements. As expected, the...

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Recent Posts

  • GBP/USD Rebounds After Trump Announces Israel-Iran Ceasefire
    June 24, 2025
  • US Dollar Weakens as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Boosts Risk Appetite
    June 24, 2025
  • Why Strait of Hormuz Closure Will Hurt Iran Too
    June 24, 2025
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