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Market Analysis

Trump’s Reversal on Tariffs: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
  • April 11, 2025

Trump’s Reversal on Tariffs: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Eight days after “Liberation Day”, President Donald Trump announced a reduction of reciprocal tariff rates to a 10% baseline on the 60 countries with higher tariff rates. This pause of the higher...

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China raises tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% - Xinhua
  • April 11, 2025

China raises tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% - Xinhua

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  • April 10, 2025

Gold Hits New All-Time High as US-China Trade War Escalates

Gold Jumps by Another 3% in One-Day The gold (XAU/USD) price surged by almost 3% and hit a new all-time high on Thursday. The escalating trade war between the US and China fuelled safe-haven demand...

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International Trade Suppression Prompts New Look at US Treasury Strategies
  • April 10, 2025

International Trade Suppression Prompts New Look at US Treasury Strategies

This post goes carefully through ownership and trends in holding of Treasuries. It concludes that official holders, as in governments, look likely to further reduce their stakes, but that this...

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CPI Eases Fears, Yet Core Inflation and Tariff Issues Cloud Economic Outlook
  • April 10, 2025

CPI Eases Fears, Yet Core Inflation and Tariff Issues Cloud Economic Outlook

Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in better than expected for the month of March. Headline CPI fell -0.1% (market expected a rise of +0.1%), as a result of energy costs...

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S&P 500 Holds the Line—But FX and Bond Markets Say the Bottom May Not Be In
  • April 10, 2025

S&P 500 Holds the Line—But FX and Bond Markets Say the Bottom May Not Be In

At this point, I’m just about ready to retire because I am seeing things I have no memory of or have never seen before. The USD/CHF fell by more than 3.8%, a monumental move. It was either a newfound...

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  • April 10, 2025

Can Trump Help Meta Avoid a Breakup? FTC Antitrust Trial Begins Soon

Magnificent Seven stock Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) constantly has headlines swirling around it. Three analysts downgraded the stock in April, and shares are down big-time on tariff worries....

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A Pleasant Surprise From US Inflation Report, but It Won’t Last Long
  • April 10, 2025

A Pleasant Surprise From US Inflation Report, but It Won’t Last Long

US inflation surprisingly undershot pretty much everyone's expectations in March, but higher prices from tariffs and supply chain disruptions are on their way. After all the volatility and...

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Beyond the Chaos: Finding Value in a Volatile Market
  • April 10, 2025

Beyond the Chaos: Finding Value in a Volatile Market

The sharp declines in U.S. equity indexes over the past week were unsettling, but far from unprecedented. Historically, similar sell-offs have occurred at least 14 other times in the past century...

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Don’t Be Fooled by Soft Core CPI—Tariff Impact Tells a Different Tale
  • April 10, 2025

Don’t Be Fooled by Soft Core CPI—Tariff Impact Tells a Different Tale

Before we get started on today’s CPI, let me add a few wise words from an old market observer: The stock market is not the economy. The stock market is the (private real economy) times (price per...

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Recent Posts

  • S&P 500 Hovers Near Resistance With PPI Set to Test Market Direction
    June 11, 2025
  • Gold’s Corrective Phase Could Be Over as Uptrend Resumes
    June 11, 2025
  • CPI Miss Sends US Dollar Lower as Stocks Lose Momentum Ahead of PPI
    June 11, 2025
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