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Market Analysis

Stock Indices Rise on Positive US-Japan Talks Ahead of ECB Meet
  • April 17, 2025

Stock Indices Rise on Positive US-Japan Talks Ahead of ECB Meet

Asian stocks rose slightly on Thursday, and the US Dollar gained a bit as traders evaluated trade talks between the U.S. and Japan, while concerns over tariffs introduced by President Donald Trump...

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  • April 16, 2025

Gold Hits Multi-Year Highs on Trade War Jitters and Dovish Fed Expectations

Safe-Haven Demand for Gold Remains Strong The gold (XAU/USD) price surged by 3.58% on Wednesday. Investors continued to buy safe-haven assets due to the intensifying trade conflict between the US and...

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4 Factors Behind the Surge in Homes and Land Prices
  • April 16, 2025

4 Factors Behind the Surge in Homes and Land Prices

I promise that I will end this series of posts with some actionable conclusions. I thought this would be a Point A to Point C series, but it’s turning into a Point A to Point E series. The final post...

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Tariff Fears Drive Retail Sales to Record High in March
  • April 16, 2025

Tariff Fears Drive Retail Sales to Record High in March

March retail sales came in above expectations and a record high. Autos were the strongest category, leading to believe the strength may be related to tariffs. But core sales (ex autos) also beat...

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Q1 Stall Speed? Tracking and Betting on GDP Growth, Retail Sales Composition
  • April 16, 2025

Q1 Stall Speed? Tracking and Betting on GDP Growth, Retail Sales Composition

GDPNow at essentially zero growth. Industrial production and retail sales (control) surprise downside. Figure 1: GDP (bold black), WSJ January survey mean (blue), WSJ April survey mean (tan), GDPNow...

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Global Stock Indices Rebound After Trump Touted Big Progress in US-Japan Talks
  • April 16, 2025

Global Stock Indices Rebound After Trump Touted Big Progress in US-Japan Talks

Global stock indices cratered yesterday, 16 April, led by technology and semiconductor stocks. Uncertainties over US tariffs and tic-for-tat trade retaliatory measures cast doubts on the technology...

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  • April 16, 2025

Is the Weakening US Dollar Good for American Stocks?

The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the dollar against a weighted basket of six foreign currencies, including the EUR/USD and the USD/JPY, recently fell to its lowest level since April 2022. This may...

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Retail Sales Beat Expectations, but How Much Is Related to Tariffs?
  • April 16, 2025

Retail Sales Beat Expectations, but How Much Is Related to Tariffs?

Total retail sales came in at $734.9 billion in March, a gain of +1.4% (vs +1.3% expected). January and February were revised higher by a combined $3.4 billion. At +1.4%, its the biggest monthly gain...

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Tech Stocks Falter but Dow Jones Turns Green, BoC Meeting Ahead
  • April 16, 2025

Tech Stocks Falter but Dow Jones Turns Green, BoC Meeting Ahead

Tech stocks fell globally after the Trump administration imposed new restrictions on Nvidia’s chip exports to China, worsening trade tensions. Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 1.5%, and Nvidia...

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Rare Earth Metals: Does China Have the Trump Card?
  • April 16, 2025

Rare Earth Metals: Does China Have the Trump Card?

The chart below, courtesy of JP Morgan Asset Management, highlights how much the US relies on certain rare earth metal imports from China and other nations. It also lists some of the products the...

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Recent Posts

  • S&P 500 Hovers Near Resistance With PPI Set to Test Market Direction
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    June 11, 2025
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