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Market Analysis

S&P 500: Equal-Weight Weakness Signals Eroding Market Breadth Ahead of Fed
  • December 17, 2024

S&P 500: Equal-Weight Weakness Signals Eroding Market Breadth Ahead of Fed

It was another weak day for the markets. The S&P 500 closed lower by 39 basis points, but the weakness was more pronounced in the RSP equal-weight index, down 80 basis points. The Dow dropped for...

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Record retail sales not as good as they appear
  • December 16, 2024

Record retail sales not as good as they appear

Total (EPA:TTEF) retail sales for November came in better than expectations, now $724.6 billion and another record high. Retail sales are now +38% above the pre-COVID high. Novembers gain came in at...

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  • December 16, 2024

S&P 500 E-mini Becoming Neutral on Daily Chart

S&P Emini market analysis Emini daily chart  The Emini is in a tight trading range on the daily chart and, therefore, a neutral market. Traders should assume that the probability is close to 50%...

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PMI Data Lifts Some Q4 Nowcasts, but Median Growth Estimate Remains Modest
  • December 16, 2024

PMI Data Lifts Some Q4 Nowcasts, but Median Growth Estimate Remains Modest

Several updated nowcasts for US economic activity in the fourth quarter have been revised sharply higher recently, but the median estimate barely changed, based on the several data points from a...

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  • December 16, 2024

Fed’s Last Decision of 2024 Is Almost Here: 3 Ways to Trade This Meeting

The Federal Reserve’s last rate decision of the year is this week, and another rate cut is on the horizon. The market is pricing in a 97% chance of a 25 basis point cut, so that’s pretty much...

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Dollar Can Resume To 108 On Potential Hawkish Cut By FED
  • December 16, 2024

Dollar Can Resume To 108 On Potential Hawkish Cut By FED

Its a busy week; we have the Fed, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England meetings, but all eyes will be on the Fed, which is expected to cut rates. Speculators are debating whether this could be a...

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What US Dollar's Recent Surge Means for Global Stock Allocations
  • December 16, 2024

What US Dollar's Recent Surge Means for Global Stock Allocations

The US Dollar Index is up over 6% this year, almost all attributable to a post-election surge. As many developed nations show stagnant economic growth or even contraction, the U.S. economy continues...

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3 Altcoins Showing Promising Breakout Potential After Testing Key Resistance Zones
  • December 16, 2024

3 Altcoins Showing Promising Breakout Potential After Testing Key Resistance Zones

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European stocks mixed ahead of Fed meeting; UK market underperforms
  • December 16, 2024

European stocks mixed ahead of Fed meeting; UK market underperforms

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Fragile Market Appetite Ahead of the Fed Meeting
  • December 16, 2024

Fragile Market Appetite Ahead of the Fed Meeting

US retail sales on the agenda today, but Fed rate cut looks secure. Dow Jones experiences its longest negative daily streak since 2018. Government crisis in Canada; Loonie could get a respite from...

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