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Market Analysis

Stocks Week Ahead: Long-Term Rates Could Be on Verge of Breaking Out Ahead of 2025
  • December 29, 2024

Stocks Week Ahead: Long-Term Rates Could Be on Verge of Breaking Out Ahead of 2025

This week is expected to be relatively quiet. The most notable data release will be the ISM Manufacturing Report on Friday, January 3. Early in the week, we’ll get some housing data, while continuing...

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S&P 500: Ed Yardeni’s $280 EPS Forecast for 2025 - What’s Behind the Bullish View?
  • December 29, 2024

S&P 500: Ed Yardeni’s $280 EPS Forecast for 2025 - What’s Behind the Bullish View?

Ed Yardeni was featured on CNBC’s Morning “Squawk Box” with Brian Sullivan and Sara Eisen on Friday, December 27th, 2024, and Ed – being the S&P 500 earnings guru – thought that the S&P 500...

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S&P 500: Bulls Eye Double Bottom, Bears Target More Downside
  • December 29, 2024

S&P 500: Bulls Eye Double Bottom, Bears Target More Downside

The S&P 500 Emini is forming a weekly Emini trading range. The bears see this week simply as a pullback and want at least a small second leg sideways to down. The bulls see the current move...

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Markets Weekly Outlook: PMI Data and Increased Liquidity to Drive Markets
  • December 29, 2024

Markets Weekly Outlook: PMI Data and Increased Liquidity to Drive Markets

US equities experience volatility amid tech and growth stock fluctuations, ending the Santa Rally week with marginal gains. Japanese Yen strengthens due to expected Bank of Japan policy changes,...

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10 Financial Stories That Shaped 2024 and Set the Stage for 2025
  • December 27, 2024

10 Financial Stories That Shaped 2024 and Set the Stage for 2025

The 2024 season is coming to an end. What an eventful year it has been: the Magnificent 7 rally, the Bitcoin halving, Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Cybercab reveal, geopolitical tensions and the US election....

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Week Ahead: US Dollar Set to End 2024 on a High as Bulls Face Few Obstacles
  • December 27, 2024

Week Ahead: US Dollar Set to End 2024 on a High as Bulls Face Few Obstacles

Another quiet holiday week looms for financial markets. Manufacturing PMIs, including the US ISM, are the only highlight. But rising US yields and sliding yen may spark New Year’s...

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USD/JPY Retreats From 158 as BoJ Rate Hike Bets Boosted Slightly
  • December 27, 2024

USD/JPY Retreats From 158 as BoJ Rate Hike Bets Boosted Slightly

US Dollar holds firm during thin holiday trading as yields creep up. But eases against yen as BoJ January hike in play. Stocks mixed in last few trading days of 2024.  No End in Sight to Dollar’s...

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Rising Healthcare Costs Are a Symptom of Structural Economic Flaws
  • December 26, 2024

Rising Healthcare Costs Are a Symptom of Structural Economic Flaws

When the Obama Administration first suggested the Affordable Care Act following the Financial Crisis, we argued that the outcome would be substantially higher, not lower, healthcare costs. It is...

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Lower Leverage Demand Raises Questions About Broader Market Risk Appetite
  • December 26, 2024

Lower Leverage Demand Raises Questions About Broader Market Risk Appetite

Yesterday’s market activity was predictable, with the S&P 500 closing flat. Futures volume reflected the holiday mood, with just 840,000 contracts traded. Given that it was the day after...

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Can Economic Solutions That Worked in the Past Fix What's Broken Today?
  • December 26, 2024

Can Economic Solutions That Worked in the Past Fix What's Broken Today?

You see the irony here: the more successful the old solutions were, the greater our compulsion to cling to them even as they fail. Humans use inductive reasoning to solve problems. If a solution...

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