Investing.com -- S&P Global Ratings has revised Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (NYSE: HPE ).’s outlook to stable from negative following the completion of its Juniper Networks (NYSE: JNPR ) acquisition, while affirming the company’s ’BBB’ credit rating.
The rating agency forecasts HPE’s pro forma adjusted leverage to decline to the low 1x area by the end of fiscal 2026. S&P had placed HPE on negative outlook in January 2024 when the acquisition was announced, anticipating leverage could exceed 2x by the transaction’s close.
With the deal now finalized, S&P estimates HPE’s pro forma adjusted leverage below 2x, with a trajectory toward the 1x area by fiscal year-end 2026. The agency expects revenue growth near the mid-teen percent area in fiscal 2025 and 2026, incorporating partial Juniper contributions in 2025 and full-year contributions in 2026.
S&P also projects adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to approximately 15% by fiscal 2026, driven by higher-margin Juniper contributions and targeted cost savings of up to $450 million. This should generate free operating cash flow between $2.5 billion and $3.0 billion in fiscal 2026.
The rating agency expects HPE to apply most excess cash flow toward acquisition-related term loan repayments, aside from dividends and modest share repurchases. A potential sale of HPE’s remaining stake in H3C business, valued at over $1 billion, could result in additional deleveraging.
S&P upgraded HPE’s business risk profile to satisfactory from fair, reflecting improved competitive positioning. The Juniper acquisition doubles HPE’s networking segment revenue to about $10 billion, which will account for more than half of its pro forma operating income.
For stand-alone HPE, S&P expects solid revenue growth near 8% for fiscal 2025, primarily driven by ongoing demand for AI-related products and HPE GreenLake services. The company reported 6% revenue growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with cumulative AI systems orders reaching $8.3 billion and a $3.2 billion backlog at quarter-end.
The stable outlook reflects S&P’s view that HPE will generate modest revenue growth and margin improvement over the next two years while integrating Juniper Networks and navigating the evolving hardware environment.
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