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Market Analysis

NFP Preview: Jobs Report Unlikely to Save the Buck From Tariff Trauma
  • April 3, 2025

NFP Preview: Jobs Report Unlikely to Save the Buck From Tariff Trauma

NFP report expectations: +137K jobs, +0.3% m/m earnings, unemployment at 4.1% Leading indicators point to near-expectation reading in this month’s NFP report. Headline job growth is potentially...

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  • April 3, 2025

The Latest Round of Tariffs From the USA was More Extensive Than Expected

With the new measures included, the total tariffs on China, Japan and the EU are now 54%, 24% and 20% respectively. Most instruments apart from havens declined sharply in the aftermath of the...

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Trump’s Tariff Math Is Based on the Trade Deficit, Not Actual Tariffs
  • April 3, 2025

Trump’s Tariff Math Is Based on the Trade Deficit, Not Actual Tariffs

The US Dollar and stocks around the world are in a freefall today after US President Donald Trump slapped “reciprocal” tariffs of between 10% and 49% on nearly every country. The economic sense of...

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  • April 3, 2025

Retail, Auto, and Consumer Sectors Could See Rising Layoffs Amid Tariff Pressures

Some 80% of the job cuts in March are DOGE-related. March saw 275,240 jobs cuts in the U.S., the third most monthly total of all-time, according to the Challenger Report, a monthly jobs report...

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Unsettling Economic Policy Conditions Starting to Unsettle the Economy
  • April 3, 2025

Unsettling Economic Policy Conditions Starting to Unsettle the Economy

Today's batch of economic indicators shows a few signs that Trump Turmoil 2.0 started to weigh on the economy during March. That’s the message from the month's national ISM manufacturing purchasing...

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Managing Expectations for a Global Trade War
  • April 3, 2025

Managing Expectations for a Global Trade War

The sweeping policy change for US tariffs announced yesterday by President Trump is a game-changer for the global economy. Exactly how trade flows shift, economies pivot, and governments around the...

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Dollar and Stocks Sink as Trump Unleashes ‘Liberation Day’
  • April 3, 2025

Dollar and Stocks Sink as Trump Unleashes ‘Liberation Day’

Trump announces reciprocal tariffs: no country spared Global recession fears as EU, China and Japan hit hard Major escalation in trade war sparks selloff in risk assets and US dollar US futures...

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This Key Chart Reveals the Tariff Impact on the US Economy
  • April 3, 2025

This Key Chart Reveals the Tariff Impact on the US Economy

Over the past few weeks, we have discussed the sharp jump in the trade deficit due to a surge of imports trying to front-run potential tariffs. Thus far, the impact of front-running tariffs on...

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  • April 3, 2025

Gold Prices Surge as Trump’s Tariffs Spark Global Trade War

Gold Continues Rising on Newly Announced US Tariffs The gold (XAU/USD) price rose by 0.74% yesterday. Safe-haven flows increased after US President Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on over...

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  • April 3, 2025

S&P 500 Risks Deeper Declines as Less Than Half of Stocks Hold 200-Day Average

The announcement of new U.S. tariffs caused a surprising wave of selling in financial markets, sparing no sector. The consequences of this decision have been shaken, and the market is now in a state...

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Recent Posts

  • Can Stocks Hold Steady as Political Noise Clashes With Soft Data?
    July 2, 2025
  • A 'Stagnation Summer' Could Deepen the Fed’s Policy Dilemma
    July 2, 2025
  • NFP Preview: Could We See the First Sub-100K Jobs Report of 2025?
    July 2, 2025
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