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Market Analysis

Resistance Is Futile: A Reality Check for Both Bulls and Bears
  • May 5, 2025

Resistance Is Futile: A Reality Check for Both Bulls and Bears

“Resistance is futile” was a sentence that struck fear in the hearts of Trekkie fans during “Star Trek: The Next Generation,” specifically in both of the “Best Of Worlds” and “First Contact”...

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US Dollar Fails to Benefit From Improved Risk Appetite
  • May 5, 2025

US Dollar Fails to Benefit From Improved Risk Appetite

A quiet start to the week, as key markets are closed All eyes on S&P 500 after nine consecutive positive sessions Aussie benefits from Labour’s win, climbs against the US dollar Gold stabilizes,...

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2 Reasons to Be Bullish on the Market in the Short Term
  • May 5, 2025

2 Reasons to Be Bullish on the Market in the Short Term

Last week, we discussed that the market backdrop improved markedly following commentary from the White House that eased concerns about tariffs. To wit: “The market rallied above the 20-DMA this past...

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25 Years of Higher Interest Rates Ahead?
  • May 5, 2025

25 Years of Higher Interest Rates Ahead?

Interest rates are linked to inflation, but they're also linked to risk. As a result of recency bias, where we assume the recent past is a permanent state of affairs, many believe near-zero interest...

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How Cooling Job Gains Could Shape Fed's Decision
  • May 5, 2025

How Cooling Job Gains Could Shape Fed's Decision

April employment came in better than expected, but not as solid as it appears. 177K jobs were gained for the month (vs. +138K estimate) The 12-month average is now 152K. However, February job gains...

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US Index Futures Turn Red After 9 Days of Consecutive Gains
  • May 5, 2025

US Index Futures Turn Red After 9 Days of Consecutive Gains

Despite market closures in Hong Kong, Japan, and China for public holidays today (5 May), global markets saw notable moves during the Asian session. Following the S&P 500’s nine-day winning...

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  • May 5, 2025

Gold Prices Climb as US Dollar Weakens Ahead of Fed Meeting and PMI Report

Gold Awaits US Rate Decision this Week The gold (XAU/USD) price closed around $3,240 on Friday. Traders now await the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision this week to understand gold's...

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Fed and BoE Could Take Diverging Paths in Shift to Inflation Control Strategies
  • May 4, 2025

Fed and BoE Could Take Diverging Paths in Shift to Inflation Control Strategies

US-China trade optimism improved market sentiment, though US funds still saw outflows. Gold and precious metals experienced net sales after 12 weeks of inflows. The Federal Reserve is expected to...

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How Housing Starts Forecasts Got Stuck in a Decade of Pessimism
  • May 4, 2025

How Housing Starts Forecasts Got Stuck in a Decade of Pessimism

I think the Philadelphia Fed’s survey of housing starts forecasts is an interesting window into the mindset of the 2000s. In Figure 1, think vertically. In any given quarter, the black line is the...

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Stocks Week Ahead: Fed Statement, Services PMI and Earnings to Shape Outlook
  • May 4, 2025

Stocks Week Ahead: Fed Statement, Services PMI and Earnings to Shape Outlook

Last week was full of important data and earnings. While this week isn’t as busy, there are a few important things to watch for. For economic data: Monday: April ISM Services PMI (50.2 est.) The...

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Recent Posts

  • S&P 500 Hovers Near Resistance With PPI Set to Test Market Direction
    June 11, 2025
  • Gold’s Corrective Phase Could Be Over as Uptrend Resumes
    June 11, 2025
  • CPI Miss Sends US Dollar Lower as Stocks Lose Momentum Ahead of PPI
    June 11, 2025
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