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Market Analysis

The Impact of Tariffs Is Not as Bearish as Predicted
  • February 15, 2025

The Impact of Tariffs Is Not as Bearish as Predicted

There are many media-driven narratives about the impact of tariffs on the economy and the markets. Most of them are incredibly bearish, predicting the absolute worst possible outcomes. For fun, I...

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Have Tactical Asset Allocation Funds Failed? Not so Fast
  • February 14, 2025

Have Tactical Asset Allocation Funds Failed? Not so Fast

Morningstar* last week advised that tactical asset allocation funds “failed—again.” That sounds ominous for this class of strategies, but a closer review suggests it’s misguided to pull the plug on...

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Retail Sales See Biggest Drop Since 2023: Are Interest Rates Squeezing Economy?
  • February 14, 2025

Retail Sales See Biggest Drop Since 2023: Are Interest Rates Squeezing Economy?

Total retail sales for January came in at $723.9 billion, a decline of -0.9% for the month. The street was expecting a decline of only -0.2%. This was the biggest one-month decline since March...

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  • February 14, 2025

Week Ahead: RBA, RBNZ, FOMC Minutes, PMIs, Canada, UK and Japan inflation

MON: N/A TUE: RBA Announcement & SoMP, UK Jobs (Dec), Swedish CPIF (Jan), German ZEW (Feb), Canadian CPI (Jan), Japanese Trade Balance (Jan) WED: FOMC Minutes, RBNZ Announcement, Bank of...

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Fed Minutes, RBA and RBNZ Decisions in Focus
  • February 14, 2025

Fed Minutes, RBA and RBNZ Decisions in Focus

After Powell and CPI data, dollar traders turn to Fed minutes. RBA to cut rates by 25bps, focus on forward guidance. RBNZ may opt for a third consecutive 50bps rate cut. UK, Canadian and Japan’s CPI...

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Trump Sets Out Reciprocal Tariffs but Markets Sigh Relief
  • February 14, 2025

Trump Sets Out Reciprocal Tariffs but Markets Sigh Relief

Trump targets all countries with reciprocal tariffs but allows time for talks. Dollar sinks, stocks rally as investors see bluff, shrug off strong PPI data. But gold unconvinced by a relief rally...

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  • February 13, 2025

Gold Rises Again on Trade War Fears as Investors Keep Seeking Safe Havens

On Thursday, the Gold (XAU/USD) price gained 0.87% on continuing safe-haven flows as US President Donald Trump plans to impose reciprocal tariffs, heightening global trade concerns. The US president...

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GBP/USD, FTSE 100 Face Uncertainty as US Tariff Shift Loom
  • February 13, 2025

GBP/USD, FTSE 100 Face Uncertainty as US Tariff Shift Loom

US tariffs in focus as VAT enters trade war calculations BoE rate cut outlook shaky with inflation risks rising GBP/USD tests key resistance with breakout potential FTSE 100 reversal raises...

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  • February 13, 2025

Trump's Tariff and Income Tax Plans: A Major Shift for Gold and Your Portfolio

*This is the transcript of an interview conducted by the International Man with Doug Casey.  International Man: Before the income tax, tariffs funded the US federal government. Was the country better...

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PPI Reinforces View That CPI Surprise Will Not Spill Into Fed's Preferred Gauge
  • February 13, 2025

PPI Reinforces View That CPI Surprise Will Not Spill Into Fed's Preferred Gauge

Stocks finished the day higher as bond yields fell following the PPI report. The key data points in the data suggested that core PCE will likely not come in as hot as the core CPI report left...

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Recent Posts

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