Economic Growth Faces Pressure from Rising Uncertainty

  • May 14, 2025

Monthly data, from May through the 13th.

Economic Growth Faces Pressure from Rising Uncertainty

Since February, the log EPU has moved about two standard deviations. Economic Growth Faces Pressure from Rising Uncertainty

Notes: Impulse response from the VAR model with variables log ( Real GDP ) and log (Economic Policy uncertainty index). A one standard deviation shock to economic policy uncertainty leads to a -0.2% point decline in Real GDP.