Investment Learning

  • September 18, 2024

Federal Reserve Removes Key Inflation Phrase From FOMC Statement

According to Odaily, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has removed a significant phrase from its latest statement. The phrase, which previously indicated that it would be inappropriate to lower the target range for interest rates until there was greater confidence in inflation moving towards the 2% target, has been omitted.This language change suggests a potential shift in the Federal Reserve's approach to managing inflation and interest rates. The removal of this phrase could indicate a more flexible stance on monetary policy, allowing for adjustments based on evolving economic conditions rather than a strict adherence to the 2% inflation target.Market analysts and investors are closely monitoring this development, as it may signal future changes in the Federal Reserve's policy direction. The omission of the phrase could lead to increased speculation about the timing and magnitude of potential interest rate adjustments.The Federal Reserve's decision to alter its communication strategy comes amid ongoing economic uncertainties and varying inflationary pressures. By not explicitly tying interest rate decisions to the 2% inflation target, the FOMC may be seeking to provide itself with greater flexibility to respond to a range of economic scenarios.Overall, the removal of this key phrase from the FOMC statement marks a notable shift in the Federal Reserve's messaging and could have significant implications for future monetary policy decisions.

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  • September 18, 2024

Federal Reserve Lowers Interest Rate, Gold Prices Surge

According to Odaily, the Federal Reserve has announced a decision to lower the upper limit of the interest rate to 5% as of September 18, down from the previous 5.50%. The expected rate was 5.25%. The Fed's dot plot indicates that the median federal funds rate is projected to be 4.4% by the end of 2024, a decrease from the previous forecast of 5.1%. This marks the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to a short-term increase in spot gold prices by nearly $20 and a 40-point drop in the U.S. dollar index (DXY). The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement noted that the risks to employment and inflation targets are balanced.

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  • September 18, 2024

Carlyle Group Predicts Multiple Fed Rate Cuts By Year-End

According to Odaily, the Carlyle Group anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement three rate cuts by the end of this year, followed by a pause to assess the impact. The private equity firm noted signs of a 'vibrant' economy. CEO Schwartz mentioned that monetary policy has already helped curb inflation, and after the expected rate cuts in 2024, the Fed might only need to cut rates once more next year. Schwartz also highlighted that trading activity in the U.S. has begun to improve and is likely to continue increasing unless there is an unexpected market disruption. In the first half of this year, Carlyle's allocation and realization of funds have increased, although these metrics remain well below peak levels.

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  • September 18, 2024

Central Banks Expected to Announce Policy Decisions This Week

According to Odaily, Commerzbank analysts have indicated that following the European Central Bank's decision to lower the deposit rate by 25 basis points last week, several other central banks are set to announce their policy decisions this week. Most of these decisions are likely to maintain current interest rates, with one significant exception. If the Federal Reserve does not begin its rate-cutting cycle on Wednesday, it would be a major surprise.Analyst Volkmar Baur noted, 'At the start of this week, the market anticipated a slightly higher than 50% chance of a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Our economists still expect a 25 basis point cut, which is well justified.' He added, 'However, a small initial step does not rule out larger moves in the future. This is why the current risk leans towards a weaker dollar.'

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  • September 18, 2024

Bank Of Japan Expected to Maintain Key Interest Rate This Week

According to Odaily, the market widely anticipates that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will keep its key overnight lending rate unchanged at 0.25% this week. However, the December meeting is expected to be more intriguing. Out of 36 economists surveyed by the Japan Center for Economic Research, 19 predict that the BOJ will raise rates again in December.Before the BOJ's meeting on December 18-19, the bank will monitor several key indicators to assess whether the economy is on track. These indicators include the BOJ's Tankan surveys for September and December, third-quarter GDP data, and corporate earnings for the same period.

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  • September 17, 2024

Gold Prices Rise Amid Weak Dollar And Fed Rate Cut Expectations

According to Odaily, gold prices saw a slight increase during the early Asian market session. Tickmill analyst Joseph Dahrieh noted that the rise is driven by a weakening dollar and growing expectations of significant interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Dahrieh highlighted that recent data from the U.S. job market indicates an economic slowdown, which raises the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut. Additionally, Dahrieh mentioned that the increasing political uncertainty ahead of the U.S. November elections is enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.

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